Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics



2007 OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 7/3/2009

This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total offense as well as rushing and passing offense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted to an average schedule of opponents and an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the offense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing offense. Rushing includes all rushing, not just running backs.

LAST YEAR represents 2006 rank. WEIGHTED OFFENSE is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.

Please note that the combination of pass offense and run offense will appear to be higher than total offensive DVOA. This is because offensive DVOA also accounts for false starts and delay of game penalties, which are all negative plays but are not considered as either passes or runs.

VARIANCE measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, lowest variance) to least consistent (#32, highest variance).

TEAM OFF.
DVOA 		LAST
YEAR 		WEIGHTED
OFFENSE 		RANK PASS
OFF. 		PASS
RANK 		RUSH
OFF. 		RUSH
RANK 		NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
1 NE 45.2% 4 42.0% 1 75.4% 1 20.4% 2 46.5% 77.6% 20.6% 7.7% 17
2 IND 24.3% 1 16.8% 3 45.0% 3 11.8% 5 23.7% 41.7% 14.3% 9.5% 24
3 JAC 21.9% 10 29.0% 2 48.6% 2 11.3% 6 19.6% 43.5% 11.2% 3.7% 2
4 DAL 17.4% 6 10.0% 9 39.7% 4 8.3% 10 20.9% 46.8% 7.6% 22.0% 32
5 GB 16.8% 19 16.0% 4 32.7% 6 4.7% 12 17.8% 37.3% 0.3% 11.8% 29
6 PHI 13.1% 3 11.5% 7 12.5% 17 20.7% 1 11.6% 11.3% 18.8% 10.6% 26
7 CIN 12.7% 5 8.9% 11 34.6% 5 2.5% 13 13.2% 36.7% 0.9% 5.7% 9
8 DEN 10.3% 20 10.4% 8 25.9% 8 1.8% 15 9.1% 23.6% 1.9% 12.8% 31
9 PIT 9.6% 9 6.8% 12 31.4% 7 -3.2% 18 14.1% 39.3% -1.5% 8.7% 20
10 CLE 8.5% 29 9.9% 10 21.8% 10 8.5% 8 10.3% 26.0% 7.9% 6.5% 12
11 NO 7.9% 8 14.3% 5 21.1% 11 -3.2% 19 7.2% 20.3% -3.6% 7.5% 16
12 SEA 7.4% 27 11.6% 6 25.7% 9 -7.5% 24 9.1% 31.4% -11.0% 4.1% 3
13 TB 6.1% 30 -0.4% 17 13.3% 16 9.7% 7 6.2% 14.5% 8.6% 5.5% 8
14 SD 5.8% 2 6.7% 13 17.1% 13 5.6% 11 3.6% 13.9% 4.2% 9.7% 25
15 HOU 2.0% 21 5.6% 14 15.0% 14 -1.2% 16 -1.6% 5.6% 2.0% 3.2% 1
16 MIN 0.1% 31 4.2% 15 -5.4% 23 15.1% 3 -1.4% -7.3% 13.8% 6.8% 14
TEAM OFF.
DVOA 		LAST
YEAR 		WEIGHTED
OFFENSE 		RANK PASS
OFF. 		PASS
RANK 		RUSH
OFF. 		RUSH
RANK 		NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
17 WAS -0.2% 13 3.8% 16 19.8% 12 -6.0% 22 -4.3% 14.9% -9.6% 5.1% 5
18 NYG -0.3% 7 -5.0% 21 -3.0% 22 12.3% 4 -1.7% -5.7% 12.2% 5.8% 10
19 ARI -2.7% 25 -4.3% 19 14.5% 15 -9.4% 27 0.0% 16.1% -5.1% 5.3% 7
20 TEN -3.4% 24 -4.4% 20 -1.5% 20 2.1% 14 -3.4% -1.4% 2.1% 6.0% 11
21 MIA -5.3% 26 -11.0% 23 -8.2% 26 8.5% 9 -8.1% -12.2% 7.0% 9.1% 21
22 BUF -8.9% 22 -4.1% 18 -2.2% 21 -6.6% 23 -6.4% 1.5% -5.0% 6.7% 13
23 NYJ -9.0% 12 -11.2% 24 0.3% 18 -9.9% 28 -8.3% -1.2% -7.0% 4.8% 4
24 DET -9.5% 28 -10.3% 22 0.0% 19 -7.5% 25 -10.6% -0.2% -10.2% 7.4% 15
25 BAL -12.7% 15 -12.5% 25 -6.5% 24 -8.1% 26 -14.7% -9.1% -9.6% 12.0% 30
26 CAR -14.0% 17 -19.2% 29 -12.7% 29 -5.4% 21 -13.5% -10.3% -7.0% 8.3% 19
27 ATL -15.5% 16 -16.7% 27 -7.3% 25 -12.9% 29 -15.8% -6.0% -15.3% 11.7% 28
28 OAK -17.4% 32 -17.3% 28 -14.8% 30 -3.7% 20 -14.5% -12.9% 0.2% 9.1% 22
29 KC -18.2% 11 -20.2% 31 -9.3% 28 -16.3% 30 -17.3% -9.9% -13.5% 8.3% 18
30 CHI -21.3% 18 -16.0% 26 -9.3% 27 -18.7% 32 -19.9% -3.8% -22.3% 5.2% 6
31 STL -22.0% 14 -19.8% 30 -15.4% 31 -16.6% 31 -20.2% -10.5% -19.1% 9.1% 23
32 SF -31.3% 23 -28.2% 32 -40.8% 32 -2.6% 17 -30.8% -36.3% -7.8% 11.5% 27