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Basketball Prospectus

Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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Baseball Prospectus

TIGHT ENDS 2007

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 12/31/2007

Tight ends are ranked according to DPAR, or Defense-adjusted Points Above Replacement. This number represents the total number of points scored due to plays where this TE caught the ball, compared to a replacement-level TE in the same game situations. DPAR (and its cousin, PAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average TE in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

DPAR and DVOA include all passes intended for the receiver, both complete and incomplete. Catch % represents the percentage of passes to this receiver completed. This is a reference to incomplete passes, not dropped passes: dropped passes are not specified in publicly available play-by-play, and unfortunately we cannot yet correct for this.

  • We cannot yet fully separate the performance of a receiver from the performance of his quarterback. Be aware that one will affect the other.
  • These statistics measure only passes thrown to the tight end, not performance on plays when he is not thrown the ball, such as blocking and drawing double teams.
  • "Points scored due to plays" is based on a larger model of how yards are translated into points, and is not a measurement strictly of touchdown passes.
  • All fumbles are considered equal, whether recovered by the offense or defense.
  • Please note that due to his usage patterns, Dallas Clark of Indianapolis will be listed as a wide receiver for 2007.

The simple version: DPAR means a tight end with more total value. DVOA means a tight end with more value per play.

RECEIVING: Minimum 25 passes, 42 players ranked

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
85-A.Gates SD 33.7 1 34.9 1 34.8% 2 36.9% 117 984 9 64%
82-J.Witten DAL 31.7 2 27.8 2 23.8% 9 18.8% 141 1145 8 68%
88-T.Gonzalez KC 23.9 3 26.3 3 11.9% 18 14.8% 154 1172 6 64%
83-H.Miller PIT 23.8 4 24.8 4 49.5% 1 52.8% 61 566 7 77%
80-K.Winslow CLE 19.9 5 19.4 5 9.5% 21 8.9% 148 1111 5 55%
47-C.Cooley WAS 19.2 6 18.2 6 15.9% 12 14.3% 110 786 8 60%
81-O.Daniels HOU 16.1 7 15.6 9 13.9% 15 13.0% 94 773 3 67%
88-T.Scheffler DEN 15.7 8 16.3 8 24.6% 7 26.3% 65 549 5 75%
86-D.Lee GB 15.3 9 16.7 7 23.9% 8 27.9% 63 575 6 76%
84-B.Watson NE 13.7 10 13.5 10 32.3% 3 31.6% 49 389 6 73%
86-C.Baker NYJ 12.1 11 10.8 12 19.8% 10 16.1% 61 409 3 67%
84-R.McMichael STL 10.4 12 8.9 15 11.7% 19 7.7% 67 429 4 58%
88-D.Clark CHI 10.3 13 10.6 13 12.0% 17 12.9% 67 545 4 66%
86-B.Utecht IND 10.3 14 10.9 11 30.4% 4 33.4% 37 364 1 84%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
88-M.Pollard SEA 9.5 15 8.8 17 27.4% 5 24.1% 35 273 2 80%
80-J.Shockey NYG 8.5 16 8.9 16 1.8% 25 2.4% 93 619 6 61%
83-B.Miller NO 8.1 17 9.2 14 16.6% 11 21.4% 38 328 2 71%
89-D.Graham DEN 8.0 18 7.6 20 27.1% 6 25.1% 33 246 2 73%
89-M.Lewis JAC 8.0 19 7.8 19 9.4% 22 8.6% 57 391 2 65%
81-A.Smith TB 7.7 20 7.8 18 10.5% 20 10.9% 53 385 3 60%
83-A.Crumpler ATL 6.9 21 6.7 21 3.4% 24 2.9% 70 444 5 60%
86-M.Gaines BUF 6.1 22 6.0 23 14.6% 13 14.1% 35 215 2 71%
86-T.Heap BAL 5.9 23 6.2 22 14.1% 14 15.4% 34 239 1 68%
82-E.Johnson NO 5.2 24 3.7 28 0.2% 26 -3.9% 63 380 2 76%
82-R.Kelly CIN 4.2 25 3.8 27 12.7% 16 10.0% 27 211 0 74%
85-V.Davis SF 3.9 26 4.7 25 -5.5% 30 -3.7% 85 509 4 61%
49-S.McHugh DET 3.7 27 3.8 26 6.3% 23 7.0% 29 252 0 59%
82-G.Olsen CHI 3.4 28 1.5 30 -3.6% 28 -9.0% 66 391 2 59%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
82-L.Pope ARI 2.5 29 2.4 29 -1.7% 27 -2.6% 34 238 5 68%
88-D.Martin MIA 2.3 30 1.5 31 -5.0% 29 -8.0% 50 303 2 68%
80-Z.Miller OAK 1.6 31 4.8 24 -10.0% 32 -1.0% 69 444 3 64%
84-R.Royal BUF 0.6 32 -0.2 34 -9.8% 31 -13.5% 38 249 3 66%
81-V.Shiancoe MIN 0.5 33 0.8 33 -10.9% 33 -9.7% 43 324 1 63%
81-B.Fletcher IND 0.0 34 0.9 32 -13.4% 34 -7.5% 27 143 0 67%
88-B.Franks GB -1.1 35 -1.3 35 -18.1% 35 -19.0% 32 132 3 56%
87-J.Peelle MIA -1.7 36 -2.2 37 -18.1% 36 -20.0% 47 228 2 62%
82-L.Smith PHI -1.9 37 -3.1 39 -18.5% 37 -23.2% 44 236 1 50%
85-W.Heller SEA -2.4 38 -1.9 36 -27.0% 40 -23.5% 26 82 3 50%
87-J.King CAR -3.5 39 -4.4 40 -19.4% 38 -21.4% 80 406 2 58%
80-B.Scaife TEN -4.1 40 -2.5 38 -21.5% 39 -17.8% 78 421 1 59%
46-D.Walker SF -6.4 41 -6.5 42 -36.1% 42 -36.8% 42 174 1 50%
88-Q.Sypniewski BAL -6.6 42 -4.8 41 -32.5% 41 -26.5% 52 246 1 65%

RECEIVING, OTHERS: 10-24 passes

Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
86-J.Stevens TB 10.3 10.5 65.3% 66.5% 21 189 4 86%
87-B.Celek PHI 6.0 6.0 31.2% 31.5% 22 178 1 73%
89-K.Boss NYG 5.8 5.6 50.9% 48.5% 14 118 2 64%
83-G.Estandia JAC 4.7 4.0 37.4% 29.0% 16 136 0 56%
86-D.Coats CIN 4.2 3.8 30.3% 25.8% 16 122 0 75%
82-C.Fitzsimmons DET 3.7 4.0 38.5% 42.8% 10 85 1 80%
85-J.Madsen OAK 3.3 3.6 34.6% 40.0% 12 102 1 67%
89-B.Patrick ARI 2.6 3.4 19.2% 31.6% 12 73 2 58%
87-T.Yoder WAS 2.5 2.8 20.3% 25.0% 12 97 1 58%
80-A.Fasano DAL 2.1 1.6 3.8% -0.9% 21 143 1 67%
88-B.Hartsock TEN 1.9 1.7 1.8% 0.5% 19 138 0 63%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
88-K.Brady NE 0.9 0.7 -4.1% -6.4% 16 70 2 56%
88-J.Putzier HOU 0.7 0.6 -0.5% -3.0% 10 39 1 60%
87-G.Wrighster JAC 0.0 -0.6 -12.0% -16.2% 24 123 1 71%
86-B.Manumaleuna SD 0.0 0.6 -13.8% -6.2% 15 86 1 67%
40-L.Naanee SD -0.1 -0.1 -13.8% -14.6% 13 69 0 62%
83-T.Bienemann ARI -0.6 -0.5 -19.7% -19.3% 11 46 1 64%
89-M.Schobel PHI -0.7 -0.5 -18.6% -16.3% 21 108 1 52%
40-J.Kleinsasser MIN -1.3 -1.0 -31.9% -26.8% 10 43 1 40%
82-S.Heiden CLE -2.1 -2.4 -28.2% -30.9% 21 104 0 57%
83-D.Wilcox BAL -3.3 -3.7 -57.4% -62.9% 11 18 1 55%
88-M.Matthews NYG -3.8 -5.0 -54.2% -69.7% 13 28 0 46%

Any tight end rushing numbers are listed on the wide receiver page for that particular year.