Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

FEI COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS 2009

through games of 1/7/2010

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

Game Efficiency (GE) is the composite possession-by-possession efficiency of a team over the course of a game, a measurement of the success of its offensive, defensive, and special teams units’ essential goals: to maximize the team’s own scoring opportunities and to minimize those of its opponent. FEI ratings take the season-long GE data and adjust for opponent, placing special emphasis on quality performance against good teams, win or lose.

Other definitions:

  • SOS: Strength of schedule, based on the likelihood of an elite team going undefeated against this team's schedule to date.
  • OE: Offensive Efficiency, or GE for offense only.
  • DE: Defensive Efficiency, or GE for defense only.
  • FPA: This team's average share of total field position in each game, with .500 representing equal field position between two opponents.

The highest rating in each category is in bold type.

RankTeamFBS
W-L
FEILast
Wk
GEGE
Rk
SOSSOS
Rk
OEOE
Rk
Off
FEI
OFEI
Rk
DEDE
Rk
Def
FEI
DFEI
Rk
FPAFPA
Rk
1Alabama13-0.3421.2845.08912.26327.5086-.6542-.6991.52726
2Florida12-1.2902.2944.10515.4769.4399-.43611-.40916.54711
3Virginia Tech10-3.2556.2187.08710.24928.37812-.43214-.43114.5577
4Ohio State11-2.2409.2186.20644.02952.23824-.6334-.6103.54613
5Georgia Tech10-3.2377.09628.08711.43411.6381.23093-.01058.50753
6Texas13-1.2313.3092.18838.33920.36815-.6343-.46610.5529
7Iowa10-2.22511.12622.12920-.15885.04652-.5567-.6732.51144
8TCU11-1.2158.3053.30870.19431.16833-.6621-.4679.5625
9Oregon10-3.2034.16613.15427.36714.4687-.28724-.29522.50945
10Miami8-4.20210.09130.08913.13736.31418-.17235-.38418.51242
11Pittsburgh9-3.20015.16514.32973.29423.32517-.12142-.27026.53319
12Penn State10-2.19516.2099.29167.20130.21330-.6315-.5406.51537
13Clemson8-5.19019.10626.11819-.01261.18431-.23432-.37719.54712
14Cincinnati11-1.1815.16515.17533.7991.5474.06667.00360.50555
15North Carolina6-5.18025.03046.0879-.25493.03755-.34917-.5297.48084
RankTeamFBS
W-L
FEILast
Wk
GEGE
Rk
SOSSOS
Rk
OEOE
Rk
Off
FEI
OFEI
Rk
DEDE
Rk
Def
FEI
DFEI
Rk
FPAFPA
Rk
16Boise State13-0.17918.3851.511104.5067.06749-.4829-.40417.5743
17LSU9-4.16517.12821.0464-.09875.07845-.42416-.46511.53715
18Texas Tech8-4.16221.17312.22251.36415.42510-.34518-.22331.50849
19Stanford8-5.16114.12523.21548.4878.6162.357102.26396.5634
20Nebraska10-4.15924.2118.20442-.09574-.13579-.6226-.5288.5558
21Oklahoma7-5.15722.13220.15928.06946.04651-.5128-.6054.50060
22Wisconsin9-3.14329.11225.22555.37213.27920-.25428-.34020.48877
23USC9-4.14220.07036.13123.07943.29519-.24829-.23330.50158
24Florida State6-6.13436.00257.0505.28324.4478.538114.24592.53814
25Connecticut7-5.13133.08133.18337.08841.23426.09173.00059.5616
26Arkansas7-5.12923.09329.0412.34119.35716-.00856-.11943.52329
27Oregon State7-5.12613.08432.21247.27126.23625.11277.01366.53517
28Mississippi7-4.12527.07934.16931-.03265.16634-.42915-.45813.49468
29Arizona7-5.11812.02848.13224-.03767.10940-.16737-.25029.51636
30Georgia7-5.11728.00061.11718.00458.26521-.08549-.26527.466104
RankTeamFBS
W-L
FEILast
Wk
GEGE
Rk
SOSSOS
Rk
OEOE
Rk
Off
FEI
OFEI
Rk
DEDE
Rk
Def
FEI
DFEI
Rk
FPAFPA
Rk
31Notre Dame6-6.11326.09031.22453.5776.5533.07169.00763.48480
32Auburn7-5.11132.03047.10617.03949.23328-.06053-.17237.49963
33West Virginia8-4.11134.06837.25960.03550.15138-.25826-.21033.49466
34Boston College7-5.10235.02749.13426-.12981-.04268-.43213-.5995.47887
35BYU11-2.09848.19011.44592.5865.37413-.15939-.05851.48975
36Central Michigan11-2.09731.20410.469101.47010.13239-.27425-.14340.51439
37Navy9-4.09342.13519.22150.33421.25322-.16836-.20934.49171
38Tennessee7-6.09330.07435.0361.06047.18232-.31021-.27325.50948
39Houston9-4.07537.14218.501103.7332.5165.21189.21087.52527
40Air Force7-5.07251.14417.36980.09438-.04869-.46010-.33921.53121
41Michigan State5-7.07140.01354.20643.02256.22729.05364-.02257.50947
42Oklahoma State8-4.06639.04843.31071-.08371-.01061-.30222-.41415.50159
43Mississippi State4-7.06143-.04675.0656-.22488.03854.08772.02869.50456
44South Carolina6-6.06038-.02568.0433-.316100-.13881-.32120-.46112.47789
45Kentucky6-6.05244.00656.09114-.08973.06748-.09446-.05950.51735
RankTeamFBS
W-L
FEILast
Wk
GEGE
Rk
SOSSOS
Rk
OEOE
Rk
Off
FEI
OFEI
Rk
DEDE
Rk
Def
FEI
DFEI
Rk
FPAFPA
Rk
46Wake Forest4-7.05045-.01967.13022.22329.23327.21790-.03355.50061
47Northwestern7-5.04849.00158.25859-.04869.15937-.13540-.14939.47397
48Purdue5-7.04647.00062.22252-.01160.07846-.10045-.25528.468102
49Utah10-3.04359.15216.25558.09140-.08475-.43512-.27524.52723
50UCLA7-6.04246.01952.17735-.362106-.23797-.18934-.17336.52231
51California7-5.04141-.03471.21246.02653.08941-.00757-.02856.49072
52Rutgers7-4.03458.02650.39284-.27598-.19592-.06252.10173.5802
53Minnesota5-7.03352-.04173.13021-.326101-.09976.01959-.09247.52032
54East Carolina8-5.03055.05839.26964-.07070-.14882-.08648-.17138.53320
55Temple9-3.02154.11924.43691.02554-.03765-.32819-.08448.52330
56Virginia3-8.02056-.07686.0858-.408110-.18490-.16338-.21532.49369
57South Florida6-5.01066-.05079.18036.02555-.07474-.13241-.19235.443114
58Washington5-7.00850-.03672.17634.04448.07047.10374.00762.49073
59Michigan4-7.00861-.00865.17232-.04668-.02764.10976.03770.51440
60Arizona State3-8.00757-.01666.20241-.25694-.17388-.25827-.29323.48974
RankTeamFBS
W-L
FEILast
Wk
GEGE
Rk
SOSSOS
Rk
OEOE
Rk
Off
FEI
OFEI
Rk
DEDE
Rk
Def
FEI
DFEI
Rk
FPAFPA
Rk
61Missouri7-5.00053.01055.46199.16634.08144-.04454.01868.47493
62Kansas4-7-.00663-.02669.26261.09339.06250.04762-.04054.49467
63Ohio8-5-.00762.03545.591114-.27497-.295101-.20433-.12042.53418
64North Carolina State3-7-.00865-.11497.13325.16035.39311.29297.15783.422117
65Northern Illinois6-6-.01360.06738.45898.07045-.03766-.01855.14579.53616
66Southern Mississippi6-6-.01664.05440.638118.18632.16535.14382.25795.55210
67SMU7-5-.02380.05241.41487.18233.01060.05263.01867.49962
68Texas A&M6-7-.02467-.00763.26663.38312.24523.08170.13277.47298
69Duke4-6-.02868-.09490.16029-.15284.02857.15884.12075.48976
70Maryland1-10-.03971-.11095.26462-.366107-.16685.11479.01165.48381
71Buffalo4-7-.04270-.00764.599115.07144.08643-.11843.00964.456108
72Vanderbilt1-10-.04872-.10293.10616-.520118-.322104-.06351-.13041.50946
73Indiana3-8-.04873-.07788.16530-.19087-.05871.20688.22688.51441
74Central Florida7-5-.05069.01553.33575-.12078-.23796-.06650-.04753.52724
75Kansas State4-6-.05075-.06882.28666-.327103-.25098.23092.23089.5841
RankTeamFBS
W-L
FEILast
Wk
GEGE
Rk
SOSSOS
Rk
OEOE
Rk
Off
FEI
OFEI
Rk
DEDE
Rk
Def
FEI
DFEI
Rk
FPAFPA
Rk
76Iowa State6-6-.05981-.07083.39785-.23789.02558.10975.389106.50751
77Middle Tennessee10-3-.06183.09827.527108-.03566-.447113-.29923-.11146.51933
78Bowling Green7-6-.06376.00060.616116.03551-.06172.06466.13878.53022
79Louisiana Tech3-8-.06877.00059.33474.01957-.16886-.08747.00761.48479
80Illinois2-9-.06879-.134105.20745-.14682-.04067.362103.24391.48083
81Fresno State7-5-.07074.04644.34976.34318.03456.392108.535113.52725
82Marshall6-6-.07285-.03070.35177-.10276-.13680.07168.14881.49170
83Colorado3-9-.07682-.07285.29468-.340104-.305102-.10744-.11644.470101
84Troy9-4-.07890.05042.24956.36116-.01862.14483.325100.50752
85Syracuse3-8-.08184-.133104.19940-.26895-.17387.14081.08972.462107
86Louisville3-8-.09186-.124101.21749-.24390-.17989.18587.15682.48578
87Baylor3-8-.10188-.174110.25557-.465115-.326105.03461-.07349.451109
88Tulsa4-7-.10291-.04877.472102-.12279-.16584.02560.10474.50850
89Kent State4-7-.10287-.04776.627117-.31599-.330106-.23731-.04852.47592
90Western Michigan4-7-.10789-.05280.643119-.11677-.27999.05965.12576.51143
RankTeamFBS
W-L
FEILast
Wk
GEGE
Rk
SOSSOS
Rk
OEOE
Rk
Off
FEI
OFEI
Rk
DEDE
Rk
Def
FEI
DFEI
Rk
FPAFPA
Rk
91UTEP4-8-.11292-.04878.45496.27125.16236.29598.30698.465106
92Ball State2-9-.11893-.09791.585111-.327102-.332107.11278.17285.49465
93Nevada8-5-.12078.02151.44895.6563.04253.447111.592115.50554
94Utah State3-8-.12394-.07184.521106-.00359-.15583.553116.548114.52528
95Army4-7-.12795-.07687.654120-.471116-.511118-.24430-.11345.47690
96UAB5-7-.12896-.06781.586112.31522-.02063.351101.30999.47494
97Colorado State2-9-.14097-.11599.40886-.02162-.05070.368106.404109.48182
98Toledo5-7-.15798-.117100.45897.13737.01359.24995.405110.445112
99Akron2-9-.16299-.161109.43690-.421113-.367110.16185.18186.47199
100Idaho8-5-.166100-.04474.516105.6534.36914.522113.713119.467103
101UNLV4-7-.170101-.11598.37982.08242-.06573.561117.599117.51538
102North Texas2-10-.173102-.11396.22454-.02964-.13078.29699.397108.47396
103Arkansas State3-8-.174103-.09992.35778-.354105-.499117.22691.336102.51834
104San Diego State3-8-.184106-.141106.44694-.12380-.20293.17386.25293.445113
105Memphis1-10-.185104-.218113.465100-.25292-.19591.512112.383104.47495
RankTeamFBS
W-L
FEILast
Wk
GEGE
Rk
SOSSOS
Rk
OEOE
Rk
Off
FEI
OFEI
Rk
DEDE
Rk
Def
FEI
DFEI
Rk
FPAFPA
Rk
106Florida International3-9-.186107-.127103.0847-.25191-.407112.381107.415111.50257
107Florida Atlantic5-7-.193108-.09289.530109.34517.08842.654119.889120.49664
108Wyoming6-6-.193112-.150107.35979-.375108-.633119.08271.07371.47985
109Miami (OH)1-11-.193105-.228114.37381-.399109-.309103.24094.14780.421119
110Louisiana Monroe5-6-.200109-.10894.42088-.17686-.469114.00258.16784.470100
111New Mexico1-11-.208110-.204112.29569-.414112-.369111.29296.25694.449111
112Western Kentucky0-11-.213113-.196111.590113-.08572-.10877.622118.595116.465105
113Louisiana Lafayette5-6-.213114-.125102.42489-.15183-.349109.13280.349103.450110
114Hawaii5-7-.218111-.150108.581110-.02663-.22895.342100.519112.47986
115Eastern Michigan0-12-.234115-.273117.44593-.411111-.295100.746120.623118.47591
116Tulane2-9-.246117-.266115.522107-.27196-.21994.363104.29497.400120
117Washington State1-11-.247116-.342120.19739-.659119-.472115.421109.23790.421118
118San Jose State1-10-.263118-.270116.28065-.486117-.492116.424110.386105.439115
119Rice2-10-.285119-.321119.38383-.423114-.344108.539115.389107.428116
120New Mexico State2-10-.312120-.308118.31772-.764120-.804120.364105.332101.47888