Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

Football Outsiders Features

Walkthrough: Click at Your Own Risk

Today's NFL prospect must worry about more than just the 40 and the Wonderlic. There's cyber-smearing, identity theft, social networking run amok, and potential privacy invasions. A team of privacy lawyers helps Mike Tanier understand how prsopects can prevent Internet disasters.

67 comments, Last Comment at 17 Mar 2010, 10:21am by Feagles - King of Punts

Mar 10, 2010 11:06am by Mike Tanier || read all Walkthrough articles

1993 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Two weeks ago, Jerry Rice and Emmitt Smith were elected to the Hall of Fame. Sixteen years ago, they battled for NFL supremacy. Revisit their prime seasons, and learn about the weird rollercoaster ride of the 1993 Houston Oilers, as we add another year of DVOA to our database.

70 comments, Last Comment at 20 Feb 2010, 5:08am by Mike19531

Feb 16, 2010 04:16pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Super Bowl XLIV Quick Reads

Before running down DYAR numbers from Super Bowl XLIV, Bill Barnwell gives his thoughts on Sean Payton's aggressive and intelligent play calls.

85 comments, Last Comment at 11 Feb 2010, 11:40am by imafreak

Feb 08, 2010 10:24pm GMT by Bill Barnwell || read all Quick Reads articles

Cover-3: Super Bowl Edition

In the Cover-3 season finale, Doug Farrar details the best quarter-million Sean Payton ever spent, why the extra "g" in Gregg Williams' name may indeed stand for genius, and how the Saints enhance their protection concepts.

10 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2010, 11:42pm by mediator12

Feb 01, 2010 11:45am by Doug Farrar || read all Cover-3 articles

Scramble for the Ball: Wrap Party

Your Scramble writers wrap up the postseason's loose ends, hand out Super Bowl awards, and review the best of Sunday's commercials.

45 comments, Last Comment at 16 Feb 2010, 12:56am by Raiderjoe

Feb 10, 2010 05:45pm by Mike Kurtz || read all Scramble articles

Black and Blue Report: January 14, 2010

Will Carroll triumphantly returns with a look at the remaining playoff teams, and how their injuries affect the road to the Super Bowl.

20 comments, Last Comment at 15 Jan 2010, 1:39pm by Scott C

Jan 14, 2010 03:18pm by Will Carroll || read all Black And Blue articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLIV

The Saints are champions. FO breaks down the game with analysis of the gutsy calls, the big mistakes, and the interception that broke Twitter.

258 comments, Last Comment at 14 Feb 2010, 8:52pm by tuluse

Feb 08, 2010 01:47am GMT by Bill Barnwell || read all Audibles articles

Final 2009 FEI Ratings

After toppling Texas, Alabama is a clear-cut No. 1, but there are plenty of surprises in the final FEI ratings after that. Brian Fremeau discusses the peculiarities of a season that left us wondering and wanting more.

88 comments, Last Comment at 16 Jan 2010, 3:14pm by Jeff Fogle

Jan 12, 2010 01:55pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

One Foot Inbounds: Texas Toast

McCoy makes an early exit with a shoulder injury, and Alabama holds off a fourth-quarter comeback to win.

112 comments, Last Comment at 11 Mar 2010, 3:46am by Nike Dunk

Jan 08, 2010 01:12am by Robert Weintraub || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

BCS Championship Preview + Live Blog

Brian, Rob and Bill give you an in-depth look at tonight's BCS title game. Can Colt McCoy cap his career with a title, or do the favored Tide have the edge? Come back at 8pm for a Cover It Live in-game blog.

10 comments, Last Comment at 08 Jan 2010, 1:19am by Will Allen

Jan 07, 2010 11:52am by Bill Connelly || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: Recruiting Spectacular

More than ever, schools and fans are obsessing over college football recruiting. But how much impact does recruiting have on a team's success on the field in the fall? Bill Connelly explores this question in Varsity Numbers.

33 comments, Last Comment at 22 Feb 2010, 7:15pm by Jeff Fogle

Feb 19, 2010 12:00pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Under the Cap: Reviewing the Mega-Money Deals

J.I. Halsell shows how the big contracts from the beginning of free agency don't differ much from years past.

20 comments, Last Comment at 18 Mar 2010, 9:16pm by JasonK

Mar 15, 2010 03:03pm by J.I. Halsell || read all Under The Cap articles

This Week in Quotes: March 5, 2010

The Week in Quotes takes a look at the best comments from the 2010 NFL Scouting Combine.

17 comments, Last Comment at 09 Mar 2010, 4:25pm by masoch

Mar 05, 2010 04:26pm by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Innovative Statistics

2009 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1BAL30.5% 1GB37.3%
2GB30.4% 2DAL31.4%
3NE29.1% 3BAL29.2%
4PHI28.4% 4CAR28.4%
5DAL25.5% 5NE27.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2009 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1NE29.6% 1SD29.4%
2NO27.8% 2NE26.5%
3DAL24.9% 3GB25.2%
4SD22.9% 4NO24.5%
5GB22.5% 5DAL23.3%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2009 DEFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1NYJ-23.4% 1NYJ-27.1%
2GB-14.0% 2CAR-18.1%
3SF-11.8% 3GB-18.0%
4BAL-11.8% 4SF-14.5%
5CAR-10.9% 5BAL-11.0%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2009 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1CLE8.4% 1CLE7.8%
2PHI4.3% 2TB5.3%
3CHI4.1% 3PHI4.0%
4MIN4.1% 4BAL3.7%
5TB3.2% 5STL3.5%
Full SeasonWeighted
1CLE8.8% 1CLE8.3%
2PHI4.3% 2TB5.2%
3MIN4.2% 3PHI4.0%
4CHI4.0% 4BAL3.6%
5TB3.1% 5STL3.5%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

QUARTERBACKS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1T.BradyNE2,170 1P.RiversSD45.9%
2P.ManningIND1,936 2T.BradyNE44.2%
3P.RiversSD1,915 3D.BreesNO41.0%
4D.BreesNO1,845 4B.FavreMIN39.0%
5B.FavreMIN1,808 5P.ManningIND38.2%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

RUNNING BACKS 2009

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1C.JohnsonTEN343 1P.ThomasNO26.2% 1D.SprolesSD181
2R.GrantGB252 2J.CharlesKC20.3% 2S.SlatonHOU168
3R.RiceBAL249 3W.McGaheeBAL19.7% 3K.SmithDET127
4J.CharlesKC233 4J.ForsettSEA18.2% 4F.JacksonBUF123
5P.ThomasNO222 5F.JonesDAL17.0% 5R.MendenhallPIT117
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

WIDE RECEIVERS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1S.RiceMIN476 1R.MeachemNO39.2%
2V.JacksonSD448 2V.JacksonSD38.7%
3W.WelkerNE424 3S.RiceMIN35.4%
4M.AustinDAL396 4M.WallacePIT29.6%
5R.MossNE395 5M.AustinDAL28.3%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

TIGHT ENDS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.GatesSD358 1B.WatsonNE49.3%
2D.ClarkIND260 2A.GatesSD38.4%
3V.ShiancoeMIN226 3V.ShiancoeMIN33.7%
4J.WittenDAL216 4T.HeapBAL27.4%
5B.CelekPHI201 5O.DanielsHOU27.3%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

SUPER BOWL ODDS
New Orleans: 52.2%
Indianapolis: 47.8%

Most Recent Articles

19 Mar 2010, 10:43am by Sean McCormick

2004 NFL Draft: Six Years Later

The 2004 NFL Draft was supposed to be one of the deepest and best ever. Six years later, how does it look? Sean McCormick breaks down the draft, position by position.

» More...

97 comments, Last at 2:23pm by Nathan

17 Mar 2010, 10:16am by Bill Barnwell

Wisdom of Crowds in Review: WR, TE

Our final Twitter review shows that the crowds did their best work predicting wideouts and tight ends, pegging near-exact numbers for players like Andre Johnson and Santonio Holmes.

» More...

40 comments, Last at 19 Mar 2010, 3:53pm by roguerouge

16 Mar 2010, 03:00pm by Bill Barnwell

ESPN: Tomlinson Inside-The-5

This week's ESPN article is on the performance of backs inside the 5-yard line, a topic I've discussed more than once but haven't written (from what I remember, at least) a full story on. This covers LaDainian Tomlinson's performance and the player who had a historically-bad performance inside the 5-yard line in 2009.

» More...

6 comments, Last at 18 Mar 2010, 1:19am by huh?

15 Mar 2010, 03:03pm by J.I. Halsell

Under the Cap: Reviewing the Mega-Money Deals

J.I. Halsell shows how the big contracts from the beginning of free agency don't differ much from years past.

» More...

20 comments, Last at 18 Mar 2010, 9:16pm by JasonK

11 Mar 2010, 11:12am by Bill Barnwell

Wisdom of Crowds in Review: RB

Before the 2009 season, we used Twitter to see what the public thought of some selected players. Learn what we all got wrong, and which breakout sophomore the FO readers pegged with surprising accuracy.

» More...

66 comments, Last at 17 Mar 2010, 9:54pm by countertorque

10 Mar 2010, 11:06am by Mike Tanier

Walkthrough: Click at Your Own Risk

Today's NFL prospect must worry about more than just the 40 and the Wonderlic. There's cyber-smearing, identity theft, social networking run amok, and potential privacy invasions. A team of privacy lawyers helps Mike Tanier understand how prsopects can prevent Internet disasters.

» More...

67 comments, Last at 17 Mar 2010, 10:21am by Feagles - King of Punts

09 Mar 2010, 11:14am by Bill Barnwell

ESPN: Ten Should-Be Cap Casualties

This week's ESPN feature is on which teams should be using the uncapped year to jettison underproductive players.

» More...

9 comments, Last at 11 Mar 2010, 4:42pm by staubach

08 Mar 2010, 11:06am by Bill Barnwell

Wisdom of Crowds in Review: QB

Before the 2009 season, we used Twitter to see what the public thought of some selected players. Now, with the season finished, we'll review those predictions and analyze what went right or wrong, starting with quarterbacks.

» More...

72 comments, Last at 17 Mar 2010, 10:22pm by sundown

05 Mar 2010, 04:26pm by Rory Hickey

This Week in Quotes: March 5, 2010

The Week in Quotes takes a look at the best comments from the 2010 NFL Scouting Combine.

» More...

17 comments, Last at 09 Mar 2010, 4:25pm by masoch

05 Mar 2010, 03:59pm by Bill Barnwell

FO Free Agent Day Chat Archive

Check out the archive of our free agent chat here.

» More...

6 comments, Last at 08 Mar 2010, 1:10pm by ChaosOnion

04 Mar 2010, 10:24am by Aaron Schatz

2009 Football Outsiders Awards

The seventh annual FO reader awards spotlight the real Defensive Player of the Year, along with special FO-only categories like most overrated, most underrated, and funniest moment of 2009.

» More...

185 comments, Last at 18 Mar 2010, 5:13pm by commissionerleaf

03 Mar 2010, 11:00am by Aaron Schatz

Four Downs: AFC East

In this AFC East review, it's defense, defense, defense. The Bills try a transition to the 3-4, the Dolphins hope Mike Nolan can work his magic on their team next year, and the Patriots wonder what to do with Vince Wilfork.

» More...

25 comments, Last at 09 Mar 2010, 12:32pm by commissionerleaf